Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.026288 0.028270 0.030265 0.032421 0.034683 0.036984 0.039498
2026-02-01 0.022442 0.025526 0.028750 0.032361 0.036279 0.040392 0.045024
2026-02-08 0.019942 0.023657 0.027649 0.032234 0.037330 0.042796 0.049078
2026-02-15 0.018036 0.022183 0.026746 0.032098 0.038163 0.044783 0.052516
2026-02-22 0.016535 0.021010 0.026039 0.032047 0.038971 0.046641 0.055721
2026-03-01 0.015093 0.019785 0.025163 0.031703 0.039355 0.047948 0.058243
2026-03-08 0.013624 0.018425 0.024038 0.030978 0.039222 0.048597 0.059959
2026-03-15 0.012396 0.017275 0.023088 0.030391 0.039185 0.049304 0.061697
2026-03-22 0.011929 0.017031 0.023201 0.031050 0.040604 0.051698 0.065391
2026-03-29 0.011243 0.016465 0.022883 0.031152 0.041330 0.053258 0.068099
2026-04-05 0.010550 0.015851 0.022468 0.031105 0.041849 0.054553 0.070483
2026-04-12 0.010151 0.015597 0.022488 0.031580 0.042995 0.056594 0.073756
2026-04-19 0.009417 0.014898 0.021956 0.031401 0.043396 0.057822 0.076176
2026-04-26 0.008770 0.014292 0.021530 0.031352 0.043968 0.059282 0.078917
2026-05-03 0.008151 0.013685 0.021070 0.031228 0.044422 0.060581 0.081456
2026-05-10 0.007580 0.013112 0.020623 0.031095 0.044843 0.061825 0.083919
2026-05-17 0.007085 0.012617 0.020257 0.031045 0.045352 0.063168 0.086501
2026-05-24 0.006532 0.012003 0.019697 0.030708 0.045468 0.064000 0.088439
2026-05-31 0.005904 0.011236 0.018887 0.030000 0.045068 0.064157 0.089514
2026-06-07 0.005367 0.010574 0.018196 0.029425 0.044818 0.064484 0.090789
2026-06-14 0.005224 0.010527 0.018386 0.030070 0.046197 0.066910 0.094734
2026-06-21 0.004937 0.010229 0.018196 0.030170 0.046836 0.068378 0.097464
2026-06-28 0.004629 0.009879 0.017912 0.030124 0.047267 0.069570 0.099842